On Sunday, May 3, 2026 (Round 32, Süper Lig), the provincial derby will take place at the Antalya Stadium in Antalya: Antalyaspor – Alanyaspor. The meeting starts at 19:00. Alanyaspor is the favorite based on the odds, but the local field and match history may make up for the difference – read the analysis below and the suggested betting tips before making your decision.
Antalyaspor – Alanyaspor: betting tips
Both teams have a poor series and low effectiveness this season, which influences the choice of conservative markets. Antalyaspor’s playing style is characterized by limited goal production and defensive problems, while Alanyaspor has slightly better goal statistics and a better defensive record – this translates into the odds and our recommendations.
1. Bet on the result (1X2 / Support)
Alanyaspor scores more points in matches in this part of the table and has a better defensive record (fewer goals conceded), which makes them the slightest favorite in the clash at Antalya Stadium. The odds indicate bookmakers’ strong preference for guests.
🎯 Our pick: Alanyaspor
Course: 2.25
2. Goal Predictions (Under/Over/BTTS)
The 2025/26 season shows that both teams have problems with effectiveness – Antalyaspor scored 30 goals in 31 matches, Alanyaspor 37. The history of head-to-head matches often brings a moderate number of goals, and the first halves of these confrontations can be quiet.
🎯 Our prediction: 1st half – total 0.5: Below 0.5
Course: 2.70
3. Special type (Corner kicks / Cards / Shooter)
For players looking for a safer option, a risk-limiting option may be a good choice – a double chance that Antalyaspor will not lose, or that Alanyaspor will not lose the second half. Taking into account the odds and form of both teams, it is worth considering a classic double chance involving the visitors or a draw.
🎯 Our pick: Double Chance – X2
Course: 1.34
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Betting odds for the Antalyaspor – Alanyaspor match
ETOTO analysts see Alanyaspor as a slight favorite in this match due to their better defensive record and lower odds for the guests to win. At the same time, the odds for a draw and a victory for Antalyaspor indicate that bookmakers do not rule out the hosts, especially in the local derby.
- 1X2:
- Antalyaspor win: 2.95
- Discounted: 3.30
- Alanyaspor win: 2.25
- Popular additional markets:
- Double Chance – 1X: 1.52 / 12: 1.29 / X2: 1.34
- Draw = Refund – Antalyaspor: 2.15 / Alanyaspor: 1.65
- 2nd half – Antalyaspor total 0.5 goals – Under 0.5 goals: 1.79 / Over 0.5 goals: 1.92
- 2nd half – Alanyaspor will keep a clean sheet – Yes: 1.79 / No: 1.92
- 1st Half – Total 0.5 – Under 0.5: 2.70 / Over 0.5: 1.41
Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor – analysis and form of the teams
Antalyaspor traditionally fights for survival and this season it is close to the relegation zone (position 16). At home, the team does not show constant dominance; average ball possession is 45.3%, and low offensive effectiveness (30 goals in 31 matches) combined with a large number of goals conceded (51) means that the hosts often play conservatively and count on counter-attacks. The current form is poor – recent matches, including a 0:2 defeat against Goztepe Izmir (25/04/2026), show problems in breaking the opponents’ defense.
Alanyaspor is 12th in the table and has more points than Antalyaspor, but its form is also not impressive (poor series, 2-3 defeat against Samsunspor on April 27, 2026). The team is characterized by slightly better defensive organization (38 goals conceded) and a greater number of shots on target (4.0 per match) and corner kicks (4.7). Alanyaspor can focus on a compact game with counter-attacks and the use of set pieces and wings to break through the hosts’ defense.
Antalyaspor – Alanyaspor: statistics and head-to-head (H2H)
The history of head-to-head clashes speaks somewhat in favor of Antalyaspor, which has recorded more victories in recent clashes, although the games are sometimes even.
- 📅 2025-12-08: Alanyaspor 0 – 0 Antalyaspor
- 📅 2025-03-28: Antalyaspor 2 – 1 Alanyaspor
- 📅 2024-10-27: Alanyaspor 1 – 2 Antalyaspor
Listed on the card: Antalyaspor – Alanyaspor
- 🏆 Competition: Süper Lig / Matchday 32
- 📅 Data: 03.05.2026
- ⏰ Time: 7:00 p.m
- 🎯 Our main pick: Alanyaspor (Odds: 2.25)
Frequently asked questions (FAQ) about the Antalyaspor – Alanyaspor match:
Who is the favorite in the Antalyaspor – Alanyaspor match?
Based on the odds, Alanyaspor is the favorite (odds 2.25). The guests have a better defensive record and a lower odds of winning, although the local nature of the derby gives Antalyaspor a chance to surprise.
What is worth betting on in the Antalyaspor – Alanyaspor match?
According to ETOTO’s analysis, it is worth considering Alanyaspor’s win (2.25) and safer options, such as double chance X2 (1.34) or no goals in the first half (1st half – below 0.5: 2.70), due to the low effectiveness of both teams.
Are there any absences and how will this affect the squad?
Currently, there are no signs of new, significant injuries affecting the composition of both teams; coaches will likely field available core players. It is worth checking the details of the lineups and possible changes immediately before the match on the ETOTO website.
Check out the full offer on the ETOTO website, including available welcome and seasonal promotions as well as detailed pre-match and live markets.
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