The match between Anastasia Potapova and Elena Rybakina is one of the most interesting matches of the 1/8 finals of WTA Madrid 2026 in Madrid. The competition will take place on clay on April 27, 2026. The favorite according to the odds is Elena Rybakina; We encourage you to read the analysis below and our betting tips before placing your bet.
Anastasia Potapova – Elena Rybakina: typy bukmacherskie
Both players enter this match in good shape: Anastasia Potapova is in a stable form after winning on April 26, 2026 over Jelena Ostapenko 2:1, while Elena Rybakina is in excellent shape (balance 56-19 in the last year) and is also doing very well on the ground. Below are three betting suggestions with justification.
1. Bet on the winner (or Set/Game Handicap)
Elena Rybakina -3 games in the 1st set. Rybakina is No. 2 in the WTA rankings (8,500 points) vs. Potapova No. 56 (1,065 points); Rybakina has an 82% success rate on the ground over the last 52 weeks, which speaks to a strong start and control of the serve. Her higher height and serve (184 cm) often give her an advantage from the first games.
🎯 Our pick: Elena Rybakina -3 games (1st set) Odds: 2.20
2. Bet on number of games (Under/Over)
Under 2.5 sets. Taking into account Rybakina’s position (2nd place in the WTA) and high effectiveness on the ground (82% in 52 weeks) and the fact that both players had intense matches on April 26, 2026 (both 3 sets in the previous round), we expect that the favorite will finish the competition in two sets. The rate for this option is attractive and meets the value criterion.
🎯 Our pick: Under 2.5 sets Odds: 1.32
3. Special type (Exact set score / Win at least 1 set)
Anastasia Potapova +3 games in the 1st set. Potapova has a solid ground record (67% in the last 52 weeks) and can set the pace from the start, making this handicap a reasonable alternative as a hedge against Rybakina’s first-set dominance. This is a type with a moderate rate and a good risk-to-potential payout ratio.
🎯 Our pick: Anastasia Potapova +3 games (1st set) Odds: 1.62
Kursy bukmacherskie na mecz Anastasia Potapova – Elena Rybakina
ETOTO’s analysis indicates a clear favorite in the form of Elena Rybakina, which is confirmed by bookmaker quotations. Below are the most important courses:
- Anastasia Potapova won: 5.20
- Elena Rybakina won: 1.15
- Under 2.5 sets: 1.32
- Over 2.5 sets: 3.20
- 1. set – handicap gemy: Anastasia Potapova +3: 1.62, Elena Rybakina -3: 2.20
Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakina – analiza i forma
Anastasia Potapova. Potapova (No. 56 WTA, 1065 points) advanced to the 1/8 finals after winning on April 26, 2026 over Jelena Ostapenko 2:1. As a 175 cm player, she has precise backhand shots and good play from deep on the court; her result on clay over the last 52 weeks is around 67% wins, which shows that she can be dangerous on this surface. Potapova, however, may feel the difficulties of the previous three-set match.
Elena Rybakina. Rybakina (No. 2 WTA, 8,500 points) is a player with a powerful serve and a large physical advantage (184 cm, 72 kg). Her 56-19 record in the last year and 82% success rate on the ground in 52 weeks explains her status as the favorite. Rybakina’s style, based on strong serving and aggressive returns, counters Potapova’s advantages well, especially when she controls her own serves and dictates the pace of the game.
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Anastasia Potapova – Elena Rybakina: statistics and head-to-head (H2H)
H2H is tied on paper, 1-1.
- 📅 2024: Brisbane: Anastasia Potapova 1 : 6 Elena Rybakina (Rybakina won 6-1)
Where to watch the match Anastasia Potapova – Elena Rybakina? (TV broadcast and stream)
The match will be broadcast on Canal + Sport 2.
Match card: Anastasia Potapova – Elena Rybakina
- 🏆 Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain / 1/8F
- 📅 Data: 27.04.2026
- ⏰ Time: 21:30
- 🎯 Our main pick: Elena Rybakina -3 games (1st set) (Odds: 2.20)
Frequently asked questions (FAQ) about the match Anastasia Potapova – Elena Rybakina:
Who is the favorite in the match Anastasia Potapova – Elena Rybakina?
Elena Rybakina is the favorite, which is confirmed by the odds of 1.15 and a higher place in the WTA ranking (2nd position vs. 56th for Potapova) and 82% success rate on the ground in the last 52 weeks.
What betting tips should you consider for this match?
According to ETOTO, it is worth considering a game handicap in the 1st set (Elena Rybakina -3, odds 2.20) and a bet on less than 2.5 sets (odds 1.32), due to Rybakina’s large advantage in the ranking and effectiveness on the ground.
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