South Africa and Canada will play in the 1/16 finals of the 2026 World Cup. The match will take place on June 28, 2026 at 9:00 p.m. at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood. This is the knockout stage, so the loser ends his participation in the tournament, and the winner will play the better of the Netherlands-Morocco pair in the next round.
Check betting tips for the South Africa – Canada match, ETOTO odds, expected lineups and broadcast information.
- Game: South Africa – Canada
- Competitions: 2026 World Cup, 1/16 finals
- Data: 28.06.2026
- Time: 21:00
South Africa – Canada: betting tips
South Africa exited Group A after a 1-0 win against South Korea, a 1-1 draw against the Czech Republic and a 2-0 defeat against Mexico. Canada took a high place in Group B, where they drew 1-1 with Bosnia and Herzegovina, defeated Qatar 6-0, and finally lost 1-2 to Switzerland.
The Canadians scored 8 goals in three matches, or an average of 2.7 goals per match. South Africa scored only 2 goals, but in the group stage they showed that they can maintain a compact formation without the ball for a long time. This is a combination of two different styles: Canada will want to play faster and wider, and South Africa may look for its moments after interceptions and set pieces.
Canada has more attacking potential, but this match does not have to be one-sided from the first minutes. Jonathan David and Cyle Larin could be a strong tie for South Africa’s defenders, while Buchanan and Millar should attack the wing sectors. South Africa’s problem will especially be Canada’s right side if Johnston and Buchanan start doubling the line on a regular basis.
However, RPA is not without arguments. Appollis, Rayners and Maseko can look for space behind the full-backs, while Sithole and Mbatha will be important for the first pass after receiving. Canada has had more possession in the tournament, but with too many turnovers in midfield it can give their opponents opportunities to break out early.
It is also worth noting the staffing situation. On the Canadian side, Alistair Johnston’s appearance is in doubt due to a muscle injury. This is important because Johnston is one of the players responsible for the balance between defense and attack support on the right side.
Estimated redaction probabilities:
| Event | Our rating | Kurs ETOTO |
|---|---|---|
| South Africa will win in 90 minutes | 18% | 5.20 |
| Draw after 90 minutes | 27% | 3.60 |
| Canada will win in 90 minutes | 55% | 1.69 |
| Both teams will score | 49% | 2.05 |
1. Type 1X2
The odds for South Africa to win are 5.20the draw was valued at 3.60and Canada’s win has odds 1.69. In the 1X2 market, what counts is the result after 90 minutes, without any extra time or penalty shootouts.
Canada has more offensive quality and looks better in the group stage numbers. The eight goals scored are not only the result of the match against Qatar, because already in the match against Bosnia and Herzegovina the Canadians were able to create situations by quickly shifting the game to the wing. David and Larin provide two options in the penalty area, and Ahmed can combine the center with the attack.
South Africa will try to close the central zone and push Canada to the sides, but they may have a lot of work to do there too. Laryea and Buchanan can attack the space behind Modiba, while on the other side Millar should test Mudaua’s positioning. If Canada sets the pace, South Africa may have trouble keeping the ball for long after receiving it.
🎯 Our pick: Canada will win the match
Course: 1.69
2. Bet on goals
The second prediction is that both teams will score a goal – with odds of 2.05. Canada has a strong attack, but conceded three goals in the group stage and did not always secure space well after turnovers. South Africa may not have many opportunities, but with a quick exit from Appollis or Maseko, they are able to find space behind the full-back.
Canada should have had more opportunities. David can drop lower for the ball, Larin is good at attacking crosses, and Buchanan gives an advantage in one-on-one duels. South Africa can defend low for a long time, but as Canada enters the penalty area again, the risk of making an error will increase.
On the RPA side, the first contact after the interception may be the most important. If Sithole or Mbatha find Rayners quickly, Canada will have to defend more space. This is not a type based on South Africa’s high number of chances, but on a scenario in which one counterattack or set piece is enough to result in a goal.
🎯 Our pick: Both teams will score – yes
Course: 2.05
3. Special type
In the special type, we choose the range of goals 2-3 at the odds of 1.90. Canada has an offense that should create some good opportunities, but the knockout stages tend to limit the number of very open passages. After the defeat against Mexico, South Africa improved its organization and won against South Korea 1-0 in the last group match.
This market fits around 2:1 or 2:0. Canada can lead the game, but they don’t have to push the tempo right away, especially if they take the lead. South Africa will probably wait a long time for a counterattack instead of pressing high from the first minutes.
With this arrangement, there is no need to assume either a very closed meeting or a shooting. Canada has more strength up front, South Africa has enough organization to limit the number of clear chances for part of the match.
🎯 Our pick: Suma goli: 2–3
Course: 1.90
South Africa – Canada: betting odds
In ETOTO’s offer, the odds for South Africa to win are: 5.20the draw was valued at 3.60and Canada’s win has odds 1.69. The Canadians are the favorites after a good group stage, but South Africa showed against South Korea that they can win the match with a low score.
- South Africa win – odds 5.20
- Draw – price 3.60
- Canada wins – odds 1.69
- South Africa promotion – odds 3.15
- Both teams will score: yes – odds 2.05
- Suma goli 2–3 – kurs 1.90
The most interesting markets include Canada winning after 90 minutes, goals for both teams and the goal range. Canada has more attacking power, but South Africa can keep the game at a fairly slow pace, especially in the first half.
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South Africa vs Canada – analysis and form
South Africa finished the group stage with a 2-3 record. The team lost 0-2 against Mexico, drew 1-1 against the Czech Republic and won 1-0 against South Korea. The best performance came at the most important moment, because the victory in the last round allowed the team to advance to the knockout stage.
The biggest challenge for South Africa will be to get out from under the pressure. Canada likes to get on quickly after turnovers, and Eustaquio can cut off passes through the middle. If South Africa keep clearing the ball under pressure, Rayners and Appollis may be cut off from passing and the game will move towards Williams’ goal.
Canada scored 8 goals in the group and had an average of 61.7% ball possession. Her best match was against Qatar, winning 6-0, but lost against Switzerland 1-2. This shows that the team has a lot of potential up front, but when faced with a stronger opponent, it can also leave space behind the midfield line.
David and Larin will be the most important in Canada’s offense. David can get between the lines and attract the stopper, while Larin gives the option for crosses. Buchanan, Millar and Laryea will work wide, so South Africa must guard not only the penalty area, but also the areas on the touchline.
South Africa – Canada: statistics and match results
In the last visible head-to-head match, South Africa beat Canada 2-0, but that was in 2007. In the context of the 1/16 finals, the results from the current tournament and the difference in offensive production are more important: Canada scored 8 goals and South Africa 2.
South Africa matches at the 2026 World Cup:
- 11.06.2026: Mexico – South Africa 2-0
- 18.06.2026: Czech Republic – South Africa 1:1
- 25.06.2026: South Africa – South Korea 1-0
Canada’s matches at the 2026 World Cup:
- 12.06.2026: Canada – Bosnia and Herzegovina 1:1
- 19.06.2026: Canada – Qatar 6:0
- 24.06.2026: Switzerland – Canada 2:1
Last direct match:
- 20.11.2007: RPA – Canada 2:0
Predicted lineups for the South Africa-Canada match
South Africa should start with Rayners and Appollis in attack, and Canada will most likely focus on the David-Larin duo. Alistair Johnston’s performance is questionable as he is struggling with a muscle injury.
South Africa: R. Williams – K. Mudau, I. Okon, M. Mbokazi, A. Modiba – T. Mbatha, Sithole, J. Adams – T. Maseko, I. Rayners, O. Appollis
You have: Crepeau – Johnston, De Fougerolles, Cornelius, Laryea – Buchanan, Millar, Eustaquio, Ahmed – David, Larin
Where to watch South Africa – Canada? Live broadcast
Game South Africa – Canada The 1/16 final of the 2026 World Cup will take place on June 28, 2026 at 9:00 p.m. The game will be played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood.
Broadcast of the match South Africa – Canada will be available to watch on TVP Sport and in the TVP Sport application.
FAQ – frequently asked questions
When will the South Africa vs Canada match take place?
The South Africa – Canada match will take place on June 28, 2026 at 9:00 p.m.
Where to watch the South Africa-Canada match?
The broadcast of the South Africa – Canada match will be available on TVP Sport and in the TVP Sport application.
What are the betting tips for South Africa – Canada?
Our predictions for the South Africa – Canada match are: Canada to win at odds of 1.69, both teams to score a goal – at odds of 2.05, and the sum of goals 2-3 at odds of 1.90.
Piala Dunia 2026
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