New Zealand – Belgium: tips, odds and bets

New Zealand – Belgium: tips, odds and bets

New Zealand and Belgium will play in the 3rd round of Group G of the 2026 World Cup. The match will take place on June 27, 2026 at 05:00. The Belgians have not won a match yet in this tournament, and yet before the last round they are still in the game for promotion.

Check betting tips for the New Zealand – Belgium match, ETOTO odds, expected lineups and broadcast information.

New Zealand – Belgium: betting tips

New Zealand has 1 point after two rounds. First, it drew 2-2 with Iran, and then lost 1-3 with Egypt. Belgium started with a 1-1 draw with Egypt, and in the second series of matches it drew 0-0 with Iran. Egypt leads the Group G table with 4 points, Iran and Belgium have 2 points each, and New Zealand closes the table with one point.

New Zealand is ranked 85th in the FIFA rankings, while Belgium is ranked 9th. The difference in potential is large, but the Belgians need to translate their advantage into tangible results in the penalty area. After two rounds, they only have one goal, so possession of the ball and names in attack are not enough.

Belgium will be leading the game, but this match doesn’t have to be one-sided from the first minute. New Zealand no longer has the comfort of waiting, because one point after two rounds means they have to look for a victory or at least a strong result. This should open up space for De Bruyne, Trossard and Lukaku, but also give the New Zealanders opportunities from set pieces and longer passes to Wood.

Estimated redaction probabilities:

Event Our rating Kurs ETOTO
New Zealand will win 7% 17.00
Handed over 14% 7.80
Belgium will win 79% 1.15
Over 2.5 goals 64% 1.42

1. Bet on goals

The odds for New Zealand to win are 17.00, for a draw at 7.80 and for Belgium to win at 1.15. The odds for a clean victory for Belgium are below the threshold of 1.30, so we move our main bet to the goals market: over 2.5 goals at the odds of 1.42.

New Zealand scored three goals in two World Cup matches, but also conceded five. This shows that her matches are getting wide open quickly. Wood provides a reference point in the penalty area, Singh can look for passes between the lines, and Cacace and Payne will have a lot of work to do on the sides. The problem begins after the loss, because there is room for a through pass between the second line and the defense.

Belgium has the tools to take advantage of this. De Bruyne should operate behind Stamenić and Bell, while Trossard and Saelemaekers can attack the side sectors. If Lukaku regularly links Boxall and Surman, the Belgians will have space for shots from the second line or crosses along the goal.

🎯 Our pick: Over 2.5 goals

Course: 1.42

2. Bet on both teams to score

The second prediction is that both teams will score a goal – with odds of 2.25. Belgium is a clear favorite, but its defense has not yet looked flawless during the tournament. Egypt scored a goal, Iran managed to get out of their own half several times, and New Zealand will have to play more bravely than in previous meetings.

Wood will be the most important player for New Zealand. He can fight with Mechele and Theate when passing crosses and set pieces, and Belgium has already had problems with covering the second ball. McCowatt and Just should look to replace De Cuyper and Meunier, because the Belgians, with a high positioning of full-backs, may leave a free corridor after a loss.

Belgium will almost certainly have their chances, but if the score is 0-0 or 1-0, New Zealand will only be able to defend. This increases the chance of a match with a goal on both sides, especially if the Belgians take the lead early and start controlling the ball.

🎯 Our pick: Both teams will score – yes

Course: 2.25

3. Special type

In the special pick we choose Kevin De Bruyne 62+ passes at the odds of 1.47. Belgium should have a clear advantage in possession, with De Bruyne being one of the main play-off points. With Raskin and Tielemans behind him, he can often go lower to get the ball and then accelerate his actions to Trossard, Saelemaekers and Lukaku.

This type fits the scenario in which the Belgians build a positional attack for a long time. New Zealand can drop back into a medium or low block, leaving time for Belgium to exchange passes in front of the penalty area. De Bruyne will then participate not only in the final pass, but also in the preparation of the action.

It is also worth remembering the situation in the group. Belgium needs control because losing a goal could make their position much more difficult. With this arrangement, De Bruyne should often be in the game, regulate the pace and transfer the weight of the action from one side to the other.

🎯 Our pick: Kevin De Bruyne 62+ passes

Course: 1.47

New Zealand – Belgium: betting odds

ETOTO offers the odds for New Zealand to win 17.00the draw was valued at 7.80and Belgium’s win on 1.15. The Belgians are the clear favorite, but with such a low valuation of their victory, the goal markets and player statistics look more interesting.

  • New Zealand win – odds 17.00
  • Draw – price 7.80
  • Both teams will score: yes – odds 2.25
  • New Zealand to score: yes – odds 2.16
  • Over 2.5 goals – odds 1.42
  • Kevin De Bruyne 62+ passes – odds 1.47

The best direction is to look for goals, not just a victory for Belgium. New Zealand has to take risks, Belgium has more quality in their play, and the table layout favors the match, which can open up significantly after the first goal.

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New Zealand vs Belgium – analysis and form

New Zealand have two matches with goals on both sides. A 2-2 draw with Iran gave them a point, but a 1-3 defeat against Egypt pushed the team to last place in the group. The team still has a mathematical chance, but it needs a result that will be difficult to achieve with defense alone.

The most important player in attack will be Chris Wood. He is the one who can keep the ball after a long play and give the midfielders time to go higher. Singh should be responsible for passing between the lines, while McCowatt and Just should be responsible for quick exits on the sides. If New Zealand locks themselves exclusively in their own half, Belgium will sooner or later find space in front of the penalty area.

Belgium has 2 points after two draws. The results 1-1 against Egypt and 0-0 against Iran are not a disaster, but considering the potential of this team it is still not enough. The match against New Zealand is the moment when the attack with De Bruyne, Trossard and Lukaku must finally play more concretely.

In midfield, a lot depends on Tielemans and Raskin. If they win the ball quickly after New Zealand’s poor clearances, Belgium will keep the pressure in Crocombe’s box. De Bruyne should then receive the ball in the zone from which he can play behind the backs of defenders or look for a long-range shot.

New Zealand – Belgium: statistics and match results

New Zealand and Belgium do not have a visible head-to-head match in the available data. However, the current form from the 2026 World Cup indicates a very clear difference in the quality of the team, with the simultaneous risk that Belgium will have to work for a long time to break the rival’s defense.

New Zealand’s matches at the 2026 World Cup:

  • 16.06.2026: Iran – New Zealand 2:2
  • 22.06.2026: New Zealand – Egypt 1:3

Belgium matches at the 2026 World Cup:

  • 15.06.2026: Belgium – Egypt 1:1
  • 21.06.2026: Belgium – Iran 0:0

Predicted lineups for the New Zealand-Belgium match

New Zealand should start with Wood up front and Singh behind him. Belgium will most likely rely on Lukaku in attack, De Bruyne as the main creator and Trossard and Saelemaekers in the wing sectors.

New Zealand: Crocombe – Payne, Surman, Boxall, Cacace – Stamenic, Bell – McCowatt, Singh, Just – Wood

Belgium: Courtois – Meunier, Theate, Mechele, De Cuyper – Raskin, Tielemans – Saelemaekers, De Bruyne, Trossard – Lukaku

Where to watch New Zealand vs Belgium? Live broadcast

Game New Zealand – Belgium in the 3rd round of group G of the 2026 World Championships will take place on June 27, 2026 at 05:00. The game will be played at BC Place in Vancouver.

Broadcast of the match New Zealand – Belgium will be available to watch on TVP Sport. The online stream will be available on sport.tvp.pl and the TVP Sport app.

FAQ – frequently asked questions

When will the New Zealand vs Belgium match take place?

The New Zealand – Belgium match will take place on June 27, 2026 at 05:00.

Where to watch the New Zealand vs Belgium match?

The New Zealand-Belgium match will be available on TVP Sport. The online stream will be available on sport.tvp.pl and the TVP Sport app.

What are the betting tips for New Zealand vs Belgium?

Our predictions for this match are: over 2.5 goals at the odds of 1.42, both teams will score – at the odds of 2.25 and Kevin De Bruyne 62+ passes at the odds of 1.47.

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